RECONNECTED
Modelling, projecting and tracking emissions reduction pathways in light of the second global stocktake by 2028 – Global action
Background
The Global Stocktake (GST), established under the UNFCCC, is the central mechanism for assessing collective progress and informing enhanced climate action. Conducted every five years, it evaluates the adequacy of Parties’ Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and relevant climate strategies against the Paris Agreement’s long-term goals. The first GST, concluded at COP28 in 2023, confirmed that the world is not on track to limit warming to 1.5 C and that the window for meaningful action is rapidly closing. Accelerating the transition to climate neutrality through zero- and low-emission development is essential for sustainable development and resilience. National-scale modelling tools need to be used, not only for setting climate targets, but for informing domestic policymakers and stakeholders on options for achieving their NDCs in different national contexts. However, modelling and analytical capacity remains uneven across countries, particularly in developing and emerging economies. Many national teams lack the technical resources to produce scientifically robust scenarios that integrate sectoral detail, costs and benefits of climate transitions.
Aims and objectives
Responding to a call by the European Commission’s Directorate General for Climate (DG Clima), RECONNECTED brings together leading international modelling experts from the EU and from emerging and developing economies across the world to provide scientific analytical support and strengthen the overall modelling ecosystem in selected countries. These are chosen together with DG Clima and in discussion with national experts, based on the needs and demands for support. The support is targeted to ensure the countries’ active contribution to the highest possible GHG emission reductions in this critical decade, and towards 2050, while ensuring a socially inclusive and just transition.
Project partners
The project is Coordinated by Ricardo and E3Modelling. KTH are partners and coordinating one of the 6 project tasks, on ‘Strengthening mitigation modelling for policy support’. Other partners are IIASA, Loughborough University and NewClimate.
Time period: starting in mid-February 2026, the project will run for 4 years.
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